Chicago Real Estate Insights | The Kernahan Group

City Living vs. New Trier Township August 2026

A Tale of Two Markets: City Living vs. New Trier Township | Kernahan Group
Chicago Market Report  ·  Summer 2026

A Tale of Two Markets:
City Living vs. New Trier Township

Kernahan Group Single Family Homes MRED Data Through July 2026

"Whether you're drawn to the leafy quiet of New Trier Township or the energy of city living, the data through July 2026 tells the same underlying story: there simply aren't enough homes to go around — in Winnetka or in Wicker Park's neighbors to the east."

Every buyer weighing Chicago's North Side against New Trier Township is really asking the same question in two different accents: where can I actually find a home? New Trier Township — Winnetka, Wilmette, Kenilworth, and Glencoe — represents the classic suburban trade: space, schools, and quiet, at a meaningfully higher price point. Near North Side, Lincoln Park, and Lake View represent the city's answer: walkability, culture, and density, with single-family stock that is far scarcer and far more varied than it looks on paper. The data through July 2026 shows both sides of that trade tightening at once, for very different reasons.

One caveat worth stating up front: Near North Side is not a clean apples-to-apples comparison with Lincoln Park or Lake View. It includes River North and Streeterville, where high-rise condominium living — with the HOA fees that come with it — dominates the housing stock far more than freestanding single-family homes. The single-family numbers below are real and directional, but the sample is smaller and the context is different. Keep that in mind as the numbers unfold.

$1.45M
New Trier Twp
2026 Median Sales Price
+13.7%
New Trier Year-Over-Year
Price Appreciation
1.0
Lincoln Park & Lake View
Months of Inventory
The Price Divide

The dollar gap between city and suburb is exactly what you'd expect — but the rate at which that gap is widening is the more interesting story. New Trier Township's median single-family sale has climbed to $1,450,000, nearly three times Lake View's $549,950 and more than triple Near North Side's $455,000. Lincoln Park, the city's premium single-family market, sits roughly midway at $793,000 — still well under the suburban threshold.

01 Median Sales Price — Single Family
July 2024 · 2025 · 2026  |  12-Month Rolling Activity  |  Source: MRED / InfoSparks
New Trier Twp
Near North Side
Lincoln Park
Lake View

New Trier's +13.7% year-over-year gain is the sharpest of the four markets, and it compounds a +10.9% jump the year before — a two-year climb of better than 26%. That is suburban scarcity in plain numbers: a small, largely built-out township with almost no path to meaningfully expand its housing stock. Lincoln Park's +9.4% gain is the strongest of the city neighborhoods, reinforcing its position as the closest thing Chicago proper has to a New Trier price point. Near North Side, by contrast, has cooled to +3.4% growth — the most moderate of the four — which tracks with a housing stock so dominated by condos and high-rises that its limited single-family comps carry less pricing momentum than the block-by-block competition happening in Lincoln Park and Lake View.

Are Sellers Getting Full Ask?

If price tells you where the market is, the percentage of original list price received tells you how it's getting there. In 2026, three of the four markets are averaging sales above 100% of list price — meaning bidding above ask has become the norm, not the exception, in both the city and the suburbs.

02 Average % of Original List Price Received
July 2024 · 2025 · 2026  |  12-Month Rolling Activity  |  Source: MRED / InfoSparks
New Trier Twp
Near North Side
Lincoln Park
Lake View
What This Means for Buyers

New Trier's 102.9% and Lincoln Park's 102.6% are nearly identical — proof that the "suburbs are calmer" assumption doesn't hold up in a low-inventory environment. Wherever single-family inventory is genuinely scarce, buyers are competing the same way, whether the listing is in Winnetka or Lincoln Park.

Near North Side remains the outlier at 97.7%, still below full ask. That's the clearest signal of its different character: with more condo and high-rise competition shaping buyer expectations, the single-family homes that do come up don't face quite the same bidding intensity — yet.

The Real Story Is Supply

This is where the city-versus-suburb narrative gets genuinely interesting. New Trier Township has long been considered the textbook low-inventory market — and it still is, at 1.2 months of supply in 2026. But Lincoln Park and Lake View have both fallen to exactly 1.0 months, matching or beating the suburb that buyers assume is the tightest market around.

03 Months Supply of Homes for Sale
July 2024 · 2025 · 2026  |  12-Month Rolling Activity  |  Source: MRED / InfoSparks
New Trier Twp
Near North Side
Lincoln Park
Lake View

Near North Side, at 2.8 months, remains the loosest of the four markets by a wide margin — but it's also tightening the fastest, down 30% in the past year alone and down 47.2% over two years. That's the steepest contraction of any market in this report. It's a reminder that "loosest" is relative: even the most spacious of these four markets is still moving toward seller's-market territory, just from a different starting point shaped by its high-rise-heavy composition.

The Bigger Picture

Whether you're looking at a 1.2-acre lot in Kenilworth or a graystone in Lincoln Park, the underlying dynamic is the same: homeowners are staying put, new single-family construction is essentially nonexistent in both built-out New Trier Township and the built-out North Side, and demand hasn't softened despite elevated financing costs. The suburbs don't offer a supply escape valve from the city, and the city doesn't offer one from the suburbs — both are running on the same scarce, aging stock of homes.

For move-up buyers hoping one market would feel easier than the other, the 2026 data suggests otherwise. The real differentiator isn't city versus suburb anymore — it's how prepared you are to move the moment the right listing appears, in either direction.

How Few Homes Are Actually For Sale

Raw listing counts make the scarcity tangible. New Trier Township — a township covering four full suburbs — has just 84 single-family homes on the market. Lincoln Park, a single Chicago neighborhood, has even fewer: 98. Lake View has 143. Near North Side, despite its larger footprint, has seen its already-modest single-family count fall from 1,085 to 635 over two years — a 41.5% decline, second only to Lincoln Park's 49.7% drop as the steepest contraction of the four.

04 Active Homes for Sale — Single Family
July 2024 · 2025 · 2026  |  12-Month Rolling Activity  |  Source: MRED / InfoSparks
New Trier Twp
Near North Side
Lincoln Park
Lake View

Lincoln Park's fall from 195 to 98 available homes in two years is a near-halving of an already tight market — and it explains why its sale-to-list ratio has climbed to rival New Trier's. Near North Side's larger raw numbers can be misleading at first glance; remember that this figure is pulled from a submarket where high-rise and condo product dominates the overall housing stock, so even a decline from 1,085 to 635 single-family listings represents a genuinely thin slice of what's actually available to a single-family buyer in River North or Streeterville specifically.

Who's Actually Selling Faster?

This is the finding that upends the easy assumption that suburbs simply move slower than the city. New Trier Township homes now average 36 days on market — faster than they did in 2025, but not the fastest of the four. That distinction belongs to Lincoln Park and Lake View, both of which have fallen to just 29 days, meaning city buyers in those two neighborhoods are moving from listing to contract nearly a full week faster than suburban buyers in New Trier.

05 Average Market Time (Days)
July 2024 · 2025 · 2026  |  12-Month Rolling Activity  |  Source: MRED / InfoSparks
New Trier Twp
Near North Side
Lincoln Park
Lake View
What This Means for Buyers & Sellers

Lincoln Park's market time has fallen 39.6% in two years — the sharpest speed-up of any market in this report — while Lake View has dropped 27.5%. New Trier, by comparison, has only tightened 5.3% over the same span. The suburban home search hasn't gotten dramatically faster; it's the city that's accelerated past it.

Near North Side is the exception in both directions: still the slowest market at 78 days, but improving the fastest on a percentage basis, down 25% year-over-year alone. That's consistent with everything else in this report — a market with more relative breathing room, tightening quickly from a looser starting point.


The Numbers at a Glance
Metric New Trier Twp Near North Side Lincoln Park Lake View
2026 Median Sales Price $1,450,000 $455,000 $793,000 $549,950
YOY Price Change +13.7% +3.4% +9.4% +7.8%
2-Year Price Change +26.1% +12.1% +16.6% +22.8%
% of Original List Price 102.9% 97.7% 102.6% 101.9%
Months Supply (2026) 1.2 mos 2.8 mos 1.0 mos 1.0 mos
Months Supply Change (2-yr) −20.0% −47.2% −50.0% −33.3%
Active Listings (2026) 84 635 98 143
Active Listings Change (2-yr) −15.2% −41.5% −49.7% −26.3%
Avg Market Time (2026) 36 days 78 days 29 days 29 days
Avg Market Time Change (2-yr) −5.3% −25.0% −39.6% −27.5%
Four Markets, One Squeeze
New Trier Twp
Median Price
$1.45M +13.7%
Months Supply
1.2 −14.3%
Active Listings
84 −10.6%
Avg Market Time
36 days −7.7%
% of List Price
102.9%
Near North Side
Median Price
$455K +3.4%
Months Supply
2.8 −30.0%
Active Listings
635 −28.9%
Avg Market Time
78 days −21.2%
% of List Price
97.7%
Lincoln Park
Median Price
$793K +9.4%
Months Supply
1.0 −28.6%
Active Listings
98 −32.9%
Avg Market Time
29 days −32.6%
% of List Price
102.6%
Lake View
Median Price
$550K +7.8%
Months Supply
1.0 −33.3%
Active Listings
143 −27.4%
Avg Market Time
29 days −21.6%
% of List Price
101.9%

So which is the better trade in 2026 — city or suburb? The honest answer is that the question itself may be less useful than it used to be. New Trier Township offers space and schools at a premium that keeps climbing faster than anywhere else in this report, though its market time has plateaued rather than accelerated. Lincoln Park offers city density at suburban-level competitiveness — and now sells faster than the suburb altogether. Lake View splits the difference on price while matching Lincoln Park's rock-bottom supply and speed. And Near North Side, shaped by its high-rise-heavy stock, offers the most relative breathing room of the four — while tightening faster than any of them on every measure in this report.

"There is no longer an 'easier' market to buy into on Chicago's North Side or in New Trier Township. There is only the market where you already know exactly what you want — and can move on it immediately."

For sellers in any of these four markets, the data supports confidence: inventory is historically low, price growth is real, and well-prepared buyers are showing up ready to compete. For buyers, the takeaway is less about choosing city over suburb and more about choosing readiness — clear criteria, financing in hand, and the willingness to act the day the right home appears, wherever it happens to be.

Work With Maria Kernahan

City or Suburb — Let's Find Your Fit

Whether you're weighing a move to New Trier Township or staying rooted in the city, I can walk you through what these numbers mean for your specific search.

Let's Talk

All data from MRED. Data deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Each data point represents 12 months of activity. Data is from August 6, 2026. InfoSparks © 2026 ShowingTime. Maria Kernahan · @properties Christie's International Real Estate · (847) 877-7100.

Kernahan Group

@properties Christie's International Real Estate  ·  Buy · Sell · Live  ·  Chicago, Illinois